Game Theory: Did Dream FAKE His Speedrun? A Final Analysis.

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The Game Theorists

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There has been a controversy brewing on the Minecraft side of NOpost centered around well known Minecraft creator Dream. He's been accused of faking his speedrun and it has caused a lot of stir. I'm not here to point fingers or accuse anyone. What I'm doing today, Theorists, is going over the facts of this situation and why it is a lot more complicated than people are making it out to be.
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#Dream #DreamSpeedrun #Speedrun #DreamSMP #Minecraft #MinecraftTheory #MinecraftLore #MinecraftUpdate #MatPat #Theory #GameTheory
FNAF, The FINAL Timeline ►►
FNAF, The Monster We MISSED! ►►
FNAF This Theory Changes Everything ►
FNAF, You Were Meant To Lose ►
FNAF 6, No More Secrets ►
Writers: Matthew Patrick and Justin Kuiper
Editors: Dan "Cybert" Seibert, Alex "Sedge" Sedgwick, Forrest Lee, Tyler Mascola, and Koen Verhagen
Assistant Editor: AlyssaBeCrazy
Sound Editor: Yosi Berman

Vonvon Gonzales
Vonvon Gonzales 32 minutter siden
Make a funny video on animal crossing
Garou 57 minutter siden
Thank you all in the comments section for stating what I already figured and saving me 23 minutes and 29 seconds of my life.
Azguard Mike 2013
Azguard Mike 2013 3 timer siden
With the Blazes, what NOONE is talking about is on one of those runs, Dream found a LOOTING 2 sword at a ruined portal. For the n00bs out there, LOOTING 2 increases the odds of a mob dropping loot when killed. This has not been addressed by anyone. The report also compares FIVE of Luminas speedruns with SIX of Dreams. So there already is a inconsistency. Thats like me saying: "Ok matpat, flip this coin 50 times for five days and record how many heads and tails you get." Then I go to Stephanie and give her a coin and say "Ok Steph, flip this coin 50 times for Six days and record how many heads and tails you get." Then on the Monday next week, i'll see Steph had more heads that Mat. Did she use a two headed coin? Did she cheat? No because she had higher odds so had a higher Heads. Same with Dream on his trades. He did more trades and thus got more drops. Come on matpat do your job instead of repeating what everyone has already been saying.
Theater Bratt
Theater Bratt 3 timer siden
Wasn't the point of 1.16 to change the game dramatically to make it feel different
Bush MG
Bush MG 4 timer siden
Ah MatPat, you began an eccentric entertainer at home amongst the Wild West of NOpost, but the years of advertiser scrutiny have pushed you down to little more than a shill who profits off the young. Perhaps your time on this platform is due to expire, and you may not be missed.
C M 5 timer siden
lucktr8 6 timer siden
8:35 youtube is broken my button is white :p
sebastian bell
sebastian bell 6 timer siden
wtf that wasent even a theory...... is that just a slogan now adays?
Syed Azfar Ali Jalali ACSG8
Syed Azfar Ali Jalali ACSG8 10 timer siden
Just saying, I am not a dream stan, but I AM good at math. And they released a statement that the chance of getting dream's runs was 10 billion to 1? 100 billion to 1? 1000 billion to 1? Point is, there is a chance of dreams runs to be true. That he didn't need to manipulate rng and that his luck was good. If the statement and said impossible then, well, I am with you, dream cheated. But the statement gave numbers that were near impossible, improbable, because they still had a chance to be true. I think dream hit the luck jackpot and is telling the truth.
Benjamin Jakubec
Benjamin Jakubec 11 timer siden
Hey Matt , Id like to ask , when enderman are people or ancient builders , how did they got to End when ender pearls drop from Enderman? ._.
シJusDibzュ ス デ ィ ブ ズ
シJusDibzュ ス デ ィ ブ ズ 12 timer siden
Me : explains simple math My family;
Ella Cavanagh
Ella Cavanagh 13 timer siden
Well what are the chances of finding a stronghold RANDOMLY ( finding it by chance or without eye of ender ) im guessing very slim yet it happened to me tis luck
Flowey The flower
Flowey The flower 17 timer siden
Me: about to beat the speed run by 00000000000.1 seconds
ariel hernandez
ariel hernandez 18 timer siden
who was the first person to ever make a netherite beacon
Nguyen Bui Ha Linh
Nguyen Bui Ha Linh 19 timer siden
deam is mrbeast
Ares Lothbrok
Ares Lothbrok 3 timer siden
Bruh no
Dean Fawcett
Dean Fawcett 22 timer siden
He does not
SCP Productions
SCP Productions 23 timer siden
1.16 : so different some people don't accept it 1.17 : *uhhhhh*
glitch gamer
glitch gamer Dag siden
When does the video start? Over 5min mark haven't started the video yet where is minecraft speedrun. Haven't dissapointed more in any of ur video almost never dissapointed but this one oh yeah wasted my time.
ken dow
ken dow Dag siden
the joker has aids
ken dow
ken dow Dag siden
gooba gabba
Holly Carr
Holly Carr Dag siden
Mr beast was In the background at the store
Michael Langston
Michael Langston Dag siden
0:14 why does mr beast have so much stuff???
dandad Dag siden
spoiler alert: dream cheated
Martha Cima
Martha Cima Dag siden
Kartoony_KobiYT Dag siden
Martha Cima
Martha Cima Dag siden
i dont get it
Victoria And Joseph
Victoria And Joseph Dag siden
I Had More Cringe
Brandon Gee
Brandon Gee Dag siden
It was fake
madhvi goyal
madhvi goyal Dag siden
"Did dream cheat his speedrun?" That only dream fan : *clicks out of video*
The Aisha Biscuit
The Aisha Biscuit Dag siden
Before Reveal: 10 = 7 heads Answer Reveal: IM CORECT!!! :D
Tiger Arora
Tiger Arora Dag siden
We: did dream cheat? MatPat: Well yes, but actually no
Tashi Yuen
Tashi Yuen Dag siden
Player 1
Player 1 Dag siden
I saw someone beat minecraft in 4:24 minutes
Aafiya arissa
Aafiya arissa Dag siden
Me: being that one 8 year old kid bad at math but likes game theory lol
GINGY_zamination Yt
GINGY_zamination Yt Dag siden
Flip 10 and get 7+heads
Kobe is Children
Kobe is Children Dag siden
although there are 10-37 major factors involved, it seems that "the thing that makes minecraft 1.16 speedruns 5 minutes faster than previous versions is the piglin trading, it's basically a slot machine". so if one were to cheat at this game, do you think they would change those rates? and change the rates of "one of the biggest bottlenecks in any minecraft speedrun"?
Kobe is Children
Kobe is Children Dag siden
and don't you think that Kobe is children? cause he is
Kenrick John Marquez
Kenrick John Marquez Dag siden
NEW THEORY FOR MINECRAFT What is bedrock made of
SK_WantsToGameEnd Dag siden
YT theory: Matpat inetially had an awnser, but the awnser was that Dream did cheat. However, since Dream has already collabed on Game Theory, Matpat didn't want to ruin his future chances with Dream's clout (attacking someone on the internet who has more clout then you is a death sentance). But since he didn't want to throw away hours of research, he made a video that never gave a diffinitive awnser.
Pranav J pillai
Pranav J pillai Dag siden
But with the stupid barter,I barted with more than 280 gold,u know how much I got? 5 pearls,5 PEARLS, if u are thinking how I got that much, I had a Mesa near my village
Pranav J pillai
Pranav J pillai Dag siden
I have got more than that much blaze rods so does that mean I cheated? No it's just luck And looting 😂
Benedict Masengi
Benedict Masengi Dag siden
He doesn't get the drops once and thats it after hours of clips his luck is much higher than anyone
Mateus Fernandes
Mateus Fernandes Dag siden
Stand-up maths did a video that actually answers the question... 🙏🏽
The man with Panda eyes
The man with Panda eyes Dag siden
This is worst then mrbossftw’s video’s
Ruby _Gem
Ruby _Gem Dag siden
When he was talking about flipping coins I did not get any of that lol
susan alvarenga
susan alvarenga Dag siden
8:32 my aswer is (a)
Marco Rivera
Marco Rivera Dag siden
idk that questiopn
KOJONES123 4 Dag siden
Why tf do people even care he’s not even first he’s sixth , people only care because it’s dream
Benedict Masengi
Benedict Masengi Dag siden
It's because he faked a speedrun
morbideddie Dag siden
Exactly, any other runner and their run would have just been quietly removed and they would have been suspended from posting. Because it’s dream we have to keep talking about it because he won’t let it go and his stans don’t understand maths.
Ian Owens
Ian Owens Dag siden
im gonna tell my math teacher to find out if he was cheating
Ian Owens
Ian Owens Dag siden
"when they bust out latex, you know its serious" thats what she said im sorry i had to
SilencedLamb_ _
SilencedLamb_ _ Dag siden
I want to matt to be my mentor like om not joking
Black and yellow
Black and yellow 2 dager siden
10 and getting heads 7 times
DIO Brando
DIO Brando 2 dager siden
Dream Speedrunner *exists* The Game Theorists: Dream the Game *Exists*
Ruben Quack
Ruben Quack 2 dager siden
Here's an actual answer to this question by Matt Parker from StandUp Maths: Bonus: it doesn't have the ridiculous bragging about understanding a bunch of math that he clearly doesn't understand at all.
Chimbi Choombi
Chimbi Choombi 2 dager siden
How can some people in this comment section be so ignorant as still think that dream definitively cheated. Matpat’s argument is that the chance of Dream’s drop rates is subjective, which is clearly evident by the different methodologies of the “Particle Physicist” and the mod team. The definitive answer to whether he cheated or not is obtainable only in a perfect world. The best solution would be to support the number of factors (why is it 10 vs 37?), and then to select data from every single recorded instance of Dream’s speed running attempts. Both sides did none of this, and both were biased, and used “true” but misleading statistics. Statistics may be right on a graph, but when applied to a topic, are misleading. For example, “4/5 dentists recommend Colgate”. It may be true, but perhaps those same 5 dentists all recommended Sensodyne. The original statement isn’t false, but it is misleading you to buy the less recommended brand, when obviously Sensodyne was recommended more. Conclusion: Statistics are often biased and used to lie to people, and Pat’s video is saying the ways you can come to a conclusion (and also how both sides did) is not truly representing the entire picture.
animesh rawat
animesh rawat 2 dager siden
matpat is like you when you're asked "would you save your mom or dad?"
Gaetan Siffert
Gaetan Siffert 2 dager siden
2:11 oh god no not latex
Alexander Wiseman
Alexander Wiseman 2 dager siden
This was decidedly a YES to anyone who really understood the data, but a "...maybe no??" to Dream stans. I understand, PatPat, but if you ain't finna answer the question yourself, you shouldn't finna ask the question in your title. Title it something like "An in depth analysis on the Dream situation" or something.
Viktor Milojevic
Viktor Milojevic 2 dager siden
If he is better than you in minecraft it doesn't mean you should make fake videos about him
Arianna Oros
Arianna Oros 2 dager siden
Little did future Matpat know was that the argument continued more on the down low
Mel Marmoria
Mel Marmoria 2 dager siden
this video is so infuriating to watch for so many reasons - too many unnecessary tangents - no real conclusion/answer to the actual title question, hence just pure clickbait - flexing that you share some business with LE DREAM, i guess he is somebody to gloat about - this was basically the longest loudest loading screen for an (skillshare) ad - claiming this video is supposed to be educating about the maths, in the end only explaining the theory of it in a very weird and hard to understand way - the finishing verdict. "minecraft 1.16+ shouldnt be getting speedruns anymore cause too high dependence on luck :c"
SleekJupiter 2 dager siden
This is last year's drama mat
noname 2 dager siden
60 is harder than 7 :)
Honshu :]
Honshu :] 2 dager siden
I think we all forget what kind of channel Matpat has, he is a Theorist. Yes, he is a good theorist but everybody isn’t always right. Maybe he did cheat, maybe he did not. Your all in the comments talking about how he dodged the question but really he’s literally just doing what he normally does. Yet you don’t say this when he makes different themes such as FNAF and other DDLC? Yet nobody from these games have stood up to things such as this? Why say all of this now because it’s a NOpostr and not a game of which you can’t say to somebody’s face? Yes, it is basically click bait but what isn’t? My god people it’s 2021, click bait is everywhere right under your noses! Not even just on youtube and even I think you know that. Go ahead, comment down how wrong I am but you can’t deny that this is suspicious and seems acted. Yeah, he might be right but he isn’t a mind reader, the only person who knows whether they cheated or not is Dream. I wonder why it’s always the NOpostr’s fault and not the game/game developers? 1.16 just came out when this event took place so their is bound to be bugs. But that still doesn’t mean Dream is off the hook and neither is MatPat. But remember, at the end of the day it’s just a theory everybody. :) (Please debate about this in the comments, I wanna see all of opinions on this :D)
Oda Siam
Oda Siam 2 dager siden
This channel helped me learn more than my class lol
Zack Pumpkinhead
Zack Pumpkinhead 2 dager siden
8:36 THEY"RE BOTH THE SAME! HA! Sorry so many comments. I'll do less next time
Zack Pumpkinhead
Zack Pumpkinhead 2 dager siden
1:46 Warzone... huh? Have you heard of... 2b2t?
Matthew Hogan
Matthew Hogan 2 dager siden
Livie Noelle
Livie Noelle 3 dager siden
conclusion: the speedrunning team is jealous
morbideddie Dag siden
Yes Stanley, they were jealous of his 14th place run.
Hayden Y
Hayden Y 2 dager siden
kat h
kat h 3 dager siden
Pls he would be such a cool and good teacher
Hayden Y
Hayden Y 2 dager siden
Glad Bros Entertainment
Glad Bros Entertainment 3 dager siden
7 times
Dr. Rocker
Dr. Rocker 3 dager siden
Matpat is such a wuss the only reason he won’t say he is cheating is because he is scared to lose his kid subscribers but don’t you see Matpat your subscribers have now grown up dot. Be afraid to say he cheated
Rainbow Pummmkins
Rainbow Pummmkins 3 dager siden
Mat pls tell me pls!
James7 3 dager siden
I can smell the dream stan dislike this video.
RaisinTree 3 dager siden
hope you all have a nice week, wanted to let you know that Jesus loves you and died for you. you might think of this as annoying and you’ve seen it a lot, but it’s more than that. those who share this are happy with Christ and believe in eternal life and happiness. they want you to be a part of that too, and so do i. you can have your own opinion and i respect it and you can ignore this and that’s fine. stay safe. i believe in you. in whatever you want to do. God has not left you, and never will. again, Jesus Christ loves you so much. He is willing to heal you and anyone else no matter what they’ve done. He has died for us and proved that He is the Christ, Savior, and Protector. God heals us, even though we are wicked. think about that. may we not be ashamed to share His word, for He was not ashamed of us.
Brandon Morehouse
Brandon Morehouse 3 dager siden
I would like to say the youtube comments are not the beat place for this kind of a statement
Dragon Fire
Dragon Fire 3 dager siden
Ppl are knocking matpat for not really answering, but he did give a more complex view of both arguments, and I don’t think that’s nothing.
a channel
a channel 3 dager siden
my view I don't think he cheated he clearly got a higher drop rate then normal but odds are just odds. The drop rate for endermen dropping ender pearls is around 50% of course that doesn't mean you're going to consistently drop 5 ender pearls for every 10 endermen its possible to kill 1000 endermen and them drop no enderpearl just its very very unlikely I dont know the probability percentage i imagine its extremely low but still not impossible.
bestofyosuke 3 dager siden
When he started talking about the luck of the item drops, I just thought "so no one here has played a gacha game then" because the luck I've seen some people have by accident is ridiculous, versus some people who whale on them and don't get nearly as lucky (hence the whaling)
JamFoxxy 3 dager siden
Mans pulled a Ranboo and didn't choose sides
FreesmartBros2007 3 dager siden
2:21 relatable ;-;
AncientAmber YT
AncientAmber YT 3 dager siden
Ah yes, clickbait
Brandon Morehouse
Brandon Morehouse 3 dager siden
Well yes but actually no
K'Sean Richardson
K'Sean Richardson 3 dager siden
I thought condoms when u said latex, but i noticed the quadratic formula short after 😂. What am i?
DONT wamt
DONT wamt 3 dager siden
So everyone's hating matpat here because he doesnt know something? Makes sense
Out by the Water in Cape May
Out by the Water in Cape May 3 dager siden
So... He did? Because any Dream stans that disagree better bend over.
•peachs bunzs ôwø•
•peachs bunzs ôwø• 3 dager siden
help me with me math pls
ENO 3 dager siden
İmagine dream commenting
Ariel Flores
Ariel Flores 3 dager siden
I think 100 times
Zain Huda
Zain Huda 3 dager siden
The real problem is that profesional mathmeticians and scientists can spend hours of time just to debunk a minecraft speedrun... Do they really not have anything better to do with their life??
Dream the animator
Dream the animator 3 dager siden
chrichu 3 dager siden
Some people took this video the wrong way bc there are quite a lot of dislikes
DYLAN SALINAS 3 dager siden
Its funny bc they're talking about high luck but there was a game my dad played and literally got a 0.01% chance weapon 5 time in a row (DFFOO)
Jamie Brophy
Jamie Brophy 3 dager siden
raystrashcan 3 dager siden
Sir, I seem to be missing an answer in this video
Juliet Torres
Juliet Torres 3 dager siden
Coin ten times
lars thememelord
lars thememelord 4 dager siden
for anyone who’s angry about lack of an answer it says FINAL ANALYISIS NOT FINAL ANSWER
Vanja Nenadović
Vanja Nenadović 4 dager siden
Yeah, you can say that it's 69.2 percent, but if people didn't watch other people's videos, that is 8.8 x 10 to the power of MINUS 12. That is(near) one in a 8800000000000 chance of getting JUST the blaze rods. Including ender pearls, which are (again near) one in 5600000000000 chance, then yeah. And both of them together, are (near) 1 in 2000000000000000000000 chance of getting them.
Galand Commandment Of Truth
Galand Commandment Of Truth 4 dager siden
MegaMathew75 4 dager siden
ailey 4 dager siden
I wish matpat was my math teacher
Djd250 4 dager siden
is p hacking hacking wile ur peeing?
W Aliff Naufal W M Syuhaidi
W Aliff Naufal W M Syuhaidi 4 dager siden
Ohh well did you know in one of dreams speedrun when he placed the boats in mid air actually there were barriers and there were barriers in the other speedrun when he placed boats in the lava there were barriers because how can he place things in mid air I tried it to and do all his hacks and a failure so he’s fake speedrunning
Brandon Morehouse
Brandon Morehouse 3 dager siden
That makes no sense, and i agree with your final statement. Your explanation just doesn’t work
did dream fake it? heres the time 23:29
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